CEO foreword

$2.5 trillion. That is the estimated value of global construction work lost to uncertainty in 2025. This is a systemic issue. And one we can’t afford to ignore.

Supply chain shocks, economic volatility, labour shortages, regulatory inertia, and climate risks are no longer isolated events. Together they turn construction projects into strategic gambles. When these pressures go unaddressed, the result is: lost opportunity, stalled investment, a growing threat to global delivery, and with it, to economic and social progress.

Construction is fundamental to global economic growth. Yet as disruption accelerates, our collective ability to deliver reliably and confidently is being eroded.

The Construction Certainty Index is a wake-up call. It’s time to confront uncomfortable truths. Dismantle outdated systems. And find new ways to deliver in a volatile world.

Currie & Brown has developed this Index as a bold, evidence-based tool to track delivery confidence across sectors, regions, and risk factors. It’s built from global research with over 1,000 senior decision-makers, each responsible for an average construction pipeline of $12.9 billion. Combined with our real-world insight, the Index shows where confidence is rising, where it is faltering, and what must change to close the gap.

This is a call for progress. And we’re already seeing signs of transformation. Smarter planning, clearer baselines, agile thinking, and better use of data are delivering better outcomes. These are not future trends. They’re today’s differentiators.

We believe that certainty is a capability. One that must be built deliberately, protected strategically, and shared widely.

In an environment defined by complexity and change, we must navigate uncertainty and build resilience into delivery. Not by removing risk, but by understanding it, planning for it and staying ready to adapt. Because the true value of certainty is the ability to move forward, with clarity, confidence, and control.