TPI forecast


Against the backdrop of the outlook discussed in this document, our latest five-year tender price forecast (2024-2028) reflects an expected fall in output this year, and a modest increase in 2025. We anticipate a much stronger trajectory from 2026 onward. This pushes back slightly the point of output recovery since our last report, with a softening of the TPI figures for this year and next.

UK tender price inflation forecast by region (2024-2028)


UK tender price inflation forecast by region (2024-2028)

Indicative economic data forecast in % (2019-2028)

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